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Press Information Bureau
Government of India
Ministry of Earth Science
10-October-2018 18:37 IST
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over west central Bay of Bengal;Red Alert issued.

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over west central Bay of Bengal;Red Alert issued.

  1. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over west central Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Warning for districts of north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha coasts: Red Message.

Yesterday’s cyclonic storm over westcentral Bay of Bengal (BoB) moved west- northwestawrds, intensified into a severe cyclonic storm in the early morning and into a very severe cyclonic storm around noon of today, the 10th October, 2018.

The very severe cyclonic storm, Titli is being monitored by the coastal Doppler Weather Radars at Visakhapatnam, Gopalpur and Paradip. The latest observations indicate that the Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards with a speed of about 15 kmph during past 06 hours, intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay cantered at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 10th October 2018 over Westcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 16.8°N and longitude 85.6°E, about 280 km south-southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha) and 230 km southeast of Kalingapatnam (Andhra Pradesh).

It is very likely to intensify further during next 12 hours. It is very likely to move north- northwestwards and cross Odisha & adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts between Gopalpur & Kalingapatnam around morning of 11th October.

Thereafter, it is very likely to re-curve northeastwards, move towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha and weaken gradually.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

 

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic

disturbance

10.10.18/1130

16.8/85.6

130-140 gusting to 155

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

10.10.18/1730

17.4/85.3

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

10.10.18/2330

18.0/85.1

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/0530

18.6/84.9

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1130

19.3/84.8

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/2330

20.5/85.5

70-80 gusting to 90

Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/1130

21.8/87.0

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

12.10.18/2330

23.1/88.7

40-50 gusting to 60

Depression

 

Capture.PNG

Capture1.PNG

 

(ii)Wind warning

      • Gale wind speed reaching 130-140 kmph gusting to 155 kmph prevails over deep sea areas of westcentral & adjoining north Bay of Bengal and gradually increase to 140-150 kmph gusting to 145 kmph from today the 10th evening to 11th forenoon.
      • Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph is very likely to commence along & off north Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coasts from today afternoon.
      • It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph from today, the 10th October 2018 night onwards along & off south Odisha & adjoining districts of north Andhra Pradesh coasts and 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph along & off north Odisha and remaining districts of north Andhra Pradesh coasts.
      • Squally winds speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting 70 kmph is very likely to commence along & off West Bengal coast from today afternoon and gradually increase to 60-70 kmph gusting 80 kmph from today night onwards.

                  (iii) Sea condition

      • The sea condition is very high over westcentral Bay of Bengal around system centre. It is very likely to be phenomenal over westcentral & adjoining north Bay of Bengal and along & off south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts from tonight to 11th October 2018 forenoon.

(iv)  Storm Surge Warning

      • Storm surge of height of about 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is very likely inundate low lying areas of Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh; Ganjam, Khurda & Puri districts of Odisha at the time of landfall.              

 

  1. Damage Expected over districts of Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam of Andhra Pradesh, Gajapati, Ganjam, Khurda, Nayagarh and Puri districts of Odisha:
      1. Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to pucca houses. Potential threat from flying objects.
      2. Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of large avenue trees.
      3. Major damage to Kutcha and and Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Minor disruption of railway.
      4. Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees.

 

  1. Action Suggested:
      1. Total suspension of fishing operations.
      2. The fishermen are advised not to venture into westcentral & north Bay of Bengal till 11th October 2018. Those, who are out in deep sea areas are advised return to the coast immediately.
      3. Evacuation from coastal areas need to be mobilised. People advised to remain indoors.
      4. Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic needed.

 

  1. Post landfall Outlook:
  • After the landfall the very severe cyclonic storm, Titli is very likely to maintain the intensity of cyclone till evening of 11th October 2018, while moving northeastwards across Odisha. As a result, the gale wind speed of 60-90 kmph is very likely to prevail over the interior districts adjacent to south coastal Odisha during 11th morning to 11th afternoon and wind speed of 60- 70 kmph over the interior districts adjacent to north coastal Odisha from 11th noon to night.
  • It may lead to breaking of tree branches, uprooting of trees, minor damage to power and communication lines, Damage to thatched huts, damage to standing crops.

(B)Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea:

Yesterday’s Cyclonic Storm “LUBAN” over west central & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea moved west-northwestwards and intensified into a severe cyclonic storm in the same evening. It further intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm over west central Arabian Sea and lay centered at 1130 hrs IST 10th October 2018 near latitude 14.2°N and longitude 58.9°E, about 600 km east- southeast of Salalah (Oman), 560 km east-northeast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 760 km east- southeast of Al-Ghaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to intensify further and move west-northwestwards towards Yemen & South Oman Coasts during next 4 days.

                                                               

Forecast track & intensity are given in the following table:

 

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic

disturbance

10.10.18/1130

14.2/58.9

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

10.10.18/1730

14.4/58.7

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

10.10.18/2330

14.5/58.3

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/0530

14.6/58.1

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1130

14.7/57.8

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/2330

14.9/57.1

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/1130

15.0/56.3

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/2330

15.1/55.4

140-150 gusting to 165

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/1130

15.2/54.4

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/2330

15.2/52.9

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

 

 

14.10.18/1130

15.2/51.1

110-120 gusting to 130

Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.10.18/2330

15.0/48.3

90-100 gusting to 110

Severe Cyclonic Storm

 

Warnings:

    1. Wind warning
  • Gale wind speed reaching 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph is prevailing over westcentral & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 135-145 kmph gusting to 160 kmph by 11th October 2018 evening over westcentral Arabian Sea around the system centre. The wind speed is very likely to decrease gradually over southwest Arabian Sea from 11th onwards.
    1. Sea condition
  • The sea condition is phenomenal around the system centre. It is very likely continued to be phenomenal over westcentral Arabian Sea till 13th October 2018 and over Gulf of Aden during 11th to 13th October.
    1. Fishermen Warning
  • The fishermen are advised not to venture into deep sea areas of westcentral Arabian Sea & Gulf of Aden till 14th October and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea till 11th October.

 

                                                                                                ***

RDS/GK/YK