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The Minister of State for Agriculture, Dr. Akhilesh Prasad Singh informed,
in reply to a question in Rajya Sabha today that, the study conducted by Central
Institute for Cotton Research (CICR) showed that the American bollworm will
develop resistance to Bt-cotton after a few years depending mainly on the
extent of area under Bt-cotton in the country.
With the current rate of increase in the area under Bt-cotton, it is
likely to take about 11-12 years for the pest to develop resistance to Bt-cotton.
However, with implementation of proper strategies as suggested by CICR,
it is possible to delay resistance by at least 30-40 year, if not more.
A stochastic model ‘Bt-Adapt’ was developed to simulate the rate of
resistance development of H. armigera to Cry1Ac under Indian farming conditions. The model integrates genetic and ecological
parameters of H. armigera in relation to its response to the Cry1Ac expressing
Bt cotton. The model can predict the time that would take for bollworm to
develop resistance in different cotton-growing districts of the country based
on the input statistics of area under Bt-cotton in each of the districts,
or even the proposed area to be cultivated under Bt cotton.
Simulation analysis showed that relative survival rate of the Cry1
Ac resistant homozygous (RR), heterozygous (RS) and homozygous susceptible
(SS) H. armigera genotypes on Bt cotton, was the most important factor influencing
resistance development. In the order
of significance, the other factors that had the greatest impact on resistance
development were, the relative proportion of area under Bt cotton, dominance
of the resistant allele and initial frequency of resistant alleles in field
populations. The extent of population
reduction in Bt cotton and non-Bt crops due to pest control, was found to
have a significant impact on the rate of resistance development.
The Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) has initiated a
net-working project in 2004, to carefully monitor resistance development in
all the 9 cotton growing states of the country and also to scientifically
analyze all factors that contribute to resistance development. The national net-working group has been given the task of developing
resistance management strategies from time to time every year and disseminate
them to all the stakeholders, including the Genetic Engineering Approval Committee
(GEAC), the state agricultural Universities, Government institutions, farmers,
Non-Governmental Organisation (NGO), etc. Based on the simulation analysis,
using the ‘Bt-Adapt’ model, and scientific data available so for, CICR has
proposed some important resistance management strategies to the GEAC.
The strategies place emphasis on reducing populations of H. armigera
that survive Bt cotton and enhancement of area of alternate host crops that
are as attractive as cotton to H. armigera, to be used as trap crop or intercrop
refuges. If proper pest management measures are followed
to ensure that at least 90 per cent of the surviving larvae of the American
bollworms in Bt-cotton fields, are killed with biopesticides, resistance can
be delayed to 45 years even with 40 per cent area under Bt cotton.
The strategies, that would enable extending the usefulness of Bt technology
would be:-
(i)
Use eco-friendly methods such as cultural control or hand-picking
of surviving bollworms in Bt cotton fields. Deep-ploughing of fields immediately after
Bt-cotton harvest to destroy resistant pupae.
(ii)
Biopesticides that are neem based or HaNPV (virus) were found
to be more effective on larvae surviving on Bt-cotton because of their slower
growth as compared to those on the conventional non-Bt cotton. Hence these would be useful to manage younger
larvae on 60-90 days old crop. Alternatively,
eco-friendly insecticides such as spinosad, emamectin benzoate, novaluron
or Indoxacarb can be used on 90 and 120 days old crop to reduce populations
of resistant insect genotypes.
(iii)
Use of attractive synchronous alternate host crops such as
marigold, sunflower, chillies etc. for H. armigera which could be used as
intercrop or trap crop refuges.
(iv)
Use alternate genes that do not share common resistance mechanisms
as that of Cry1Ac, in transgenic plants either in rotation or alternation
or mixtures such as the dual-gene based Bt-cotton varieties.
UM/Hb
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